Leonardo Malgaroli vs Lorenzo Rottoli Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Malgaroli's second serve point win rate is 40.35%, lower than Rottoli's 43.4%. Does this give Rottoli an advantage? Likely, as it's strongly linked to match outcomes.
• In returning opponents' second serves, Malgaroli wins 43.23% of points, compared to Rottoli's 46.94%, indicating Rottoli's superior return game.
• Both players have similar first serve return stats, with Malgaroli at 27.57% and Rottoli at 27.56%, suggesting evenly matched performances on this metric.
• Under pressure, Rottoli excels, saving 48.9% of breakpoints compared to Malgaroli's 42.59%, which may indicate a better composure in crucial moments.
• Over the past year, Malgaroli has a slightly better match win rate at 62.75% compared to Rottoli's 55.36%, suggesting more consistent performance overall.
• Malgaroli's favored surface is indoor hard courts, winning 69%, whereas Rottoli shines on hard courts with a 59% win rate.
• Both players predominantly compete in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments, with Malgaroli winning 62.75% of these matches and Rottoli winning 58.49%.
• Malgaroli faces tougher competition with opponents averaging a rank of 265.27, while Rottoli's average opponent rank is 431.93, possibly indicating a greater challenge in Malgaroli's matches.
• In deciding sets, Rottoli has a slight edge, winning 71% compared to Malgaroli's 67% — crucial for tight matches.
• Malgaroli has a slight advantage in breakpoint conversion at 39.29%, just above Rottoli's 38.1% — a key stat for capitalizing on opportunities.

Editorial Prediction (June 24, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match exhibits both players' strengths and weaknesses through various statistics. Malgaroli holds a slight edge in overall match win rate and faces generally tougher competitors, indicating resilience and adaptability against stronger players.

Rottoli, however, shows a consistent edge in second serve and return games, along with a better performance under pressure — critical in high-stake moments. Rottoli's performance in deciding sets further underscores their resilience.

When examining surfaces, Malgaroli performs better on indoor hard courts, though this factor may not play into the current event if the surface differs.

While both players are closely matched, Rottoli's superior performance in key game aspects, like under pressure scenarios and second serve returns, gives them a slight advantage. Thus, based on the statistical analysis, Rottoli is likely to win this upcoming tennis match.